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Oct 13, 12:07 PM EDTupdated
Board · Rankings · CollegeNext: vs LOU · Sat, Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET →

Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Syracuse

2–3 FBS · ACC · this season
Rating
−0.9
Rank
74
Résumé
89
Projected wins
4.1▲ 1.7 vs preseason
CFP odds
0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line
DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call
Sat, Sep 59/5New HampshireNew HampshireSYR −26.6SYR −35.5W 66–397
Sat, Sep 129/12CaliforniaCALSYR −6.3SYR −3.0L 18–2158CAL · W
Thu, Sep 179/17at PittsburghPITTSYR +15.8SYR +9.5L 13–2755PITT · W
Sat, Oct 310/3at UConnCONNSYR +7.5SYR −6.5W 42–4139CONN · W
Sat, Oct 1010/10at VirginiaUVASYR +11.0SYR +8.5L 25–2853UVA · L
Sat, Oct 1710/17LouisvilleLOUSYR +13.2SYR +14.5SYR +14.5Pass
Sat, Oct 2410/24at North CarolinaUNCSYR +10.4—wk 8
Sat, Oct 3110/31SMUSMUSYR +8.5—wk 9
Sat, Nov 711/7ClemsonCLEMSYR +3.8—wk 10
Sat, Nov 1411/14at NC StateNCSUSYR +7.3—wk 11
Sat, Nov 2111/21at Boston CollegeBCSYR −0.6—wk 12
Sat, Nov 2811/28Notre DameNDSYR +26.6—wk 13

Model on SYR games: 3–1 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–1 · as the dog 2–0 · home 2–1, away 1–0 · avg gap to the market +6.3 · closer than the market 2 of 4

Outlook

from 10,000 season simulations
Projected wins
4.12–3 banked, 7 to play · preseason 2.4
Bowl (6+)4%
9+ wins0%
11+ wins0%

The 7 games left add 2.1 expected wins.

Playoff picture
Reach title game0%
Win conference0%
Make the CFP0%
First-round bye0%
Win it all0%

Full bracket on the playoffs page.

Offense and defense

5 games · rank of 138 FBS
rank of 138
Offense
EPA per play+0.1064th
Success rate42.4%80th
Pass EPA+0.1260th
Rush EPA+0.0964th
Explosive rate12.4%79th
Quality-drive rate65.5%6th
Points per quality drive3.797th
Defense
EPA allowed−0.0151st
Success allowed41.2%71st
Pass EPA allowed−0.1522nd
Rush EPA allowed+0.15112th
Explosive allowed13.2%98th
Havoc rate12.0%20th

Special teams, luck and schedule

through the latest board
rank of 138
Special teams & luck
Special teams EPA / game−4.2133rd
Turnover margin−6125th · exp. −4.0
Field position margin−1.3 yd92nd
Hidden points / game−6.6gave up
Luck, wins−0.52.5 earned
One-score record1–2flipped 3–2
Rush rate over expected−3.2%86th
Overall
Rating, pts vs average−0.974th
Schedule played+1.558th
Schedule remaining+5.539th
Full schedule+4.147th
Pregame expected wins1.7of 5

Ranking by week

ours vs the AP poll
151025Wk 0Wk 2Wk 4Wk 6
Ours 74th · −0.9Week 6
Where they sit · offense vs defensepinch or ⌘/ctrl + scroll to zoom · drag to move · double-tap to reset
−0.200.00+0.20FBS averageStanfordHawai'iFlorida StateNew Mexico StateEastern MichiganSacramento StateNorth Dakota StateJacksonville StateVirginiaNC StateUSCSan José StateUNLVMemphisTCUNorth CarolinaUCFDelawareKennesaw StateBuffaloMinnesotaMissouriUtahRutgersMassachusettsWake ForestAkronGeorgia TechColoradoIllinoisUABFresno StatePurdueGeorgia StateOklahomaUTEPMichigan StateToledoMiamiKansasTexas A&MMissouri StateSouth AlabamaGeorgia SouthernSouth FloridaFlorida InternationalRiceUtah StateMiddle TennesseeArkansas StateVanderbiltTexas TechKansas StateVirginia TechMississippi StateUL MonroeLSUClemsonLouisiana TechMichiganWestern MichiganTroySam HoustonFloridaFlorida AtlanticColorado StateWyomingSouthern MissAir ForceTempleGeorgiaTennesseeApp StateCharlotteOregonBoise StateNavyUTSAPenn StateMarshallTexasTexas StateDukeTulaneTulsaOklahoma StateArkansasIowaNorthern IllinoisOld DominionIowa StateLouisianaBYUAuburnBaylorNorthwesternMarylandArizonaSan Diego StateNew MexicoCentral MichiganArizona StateNevadaWestern KentuckyCaliforniaUCLAKentuckyCincinnatiBoston CollegeArmySouth CarolinaKent StateOhio StateBall StateWest VirginiaCoastal CarolinaUConnBowling GreenAlabamaEast CarolinaHoustonOregon StateIndianaNorth TexasJames MadisonLibertyNebraskaOhioPittsburghMiami (OH)WashingtonWashington StateNotre DameWisconsinOle MissLouisvilleSMUSYRgood offense, good defense →Offense EPA/play →better defense →
Syracuseoff +0.10 64thdef −0.01 allowed · 51st

Every FBS team, through the latest board. EPA is garbage-time filtered. Tap a logo for its numbers.

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.