LockSZNTeam
Oct 13, 12:07 PM EDTupdated
Board · Rankings · CollegeNext: vs SJSU · Sat, Oct 17 · 9:00 PM ET →

Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

UTEP

1–5 FBS · Mountain West · this season
Rating
−18.6
Rank
133
Résumé
124
Projected wins
2.7▼ 0.7 vs preseason
CFP odds
0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line
DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call
Fri, Sep 49/4at OklahomaOUUTEP +30.8UTEP +41.5L 0–5133UTEP · L
Sat, Sep 129/12Texas SouthernTexas SouthernUTEP −29.7UTEP −27.0W 51–1063
Sat, Sep 199/19at MichiganMICHUTEP +37.1UTEP +36.5L 17–5214UTEP · W
Sat, Sep 269/26Oregon StateORSTUTEP +5.4UTEP +11.0L 7–3323UTEP · L
Sat, Oct 310/3at New MexicoUNMUTEP +27.1UTEP +22.5L 7–6111UNM · W
Sat, Oct 1010/10NevadaNEVUTEP +8.5UTEP +9.5L 13–3034UTEP · L
Sat, Oct 1710/17San José StateSJSUUTEP +5.1UTEP +7.5UTEP +7.5Pass
Sat, Oct 3110/31at North Dakota StateNDSUUTEP +23.9—wk 9
Sat, Nov 711/7Hawai'iHAWUTEP +6.7—wk 10
Sat, Nov 1411/14WyomingWYOUTEP +4.5—wk 11
Fri, Nov 2011/20at Air ForceAFUTEP +18.4—wk 12
Sat, Nov 2811/28at Northern IllinoisNIUUTEP +3.5—wk 13

Model on UTEP games: 2–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–0 · as the dog 1–3 · home 1–2, away 1–1 · avg gap to the market +4.7 · closer than the market 1 of 5

Outlook

from 10,000 season simulations
Projected wins
2.71–5 banked, 6 to play · preseason 3.4
Bowl (6+)0%
9+ wins0%
11+ wins0%

The 6 games left add 1.7 expected wins.

Playoff picture
Reach title game<1%
Win conference<1%
Make the CFP0%
First-round bye0%
Win it all0%

Full bracket on the playoffs page.

Offense and defense

6 games · rank of 138 FBS
rank of 138
Offense
EPA per play−0.19138th
Success rate33.3%134th
Pass EPA−0.25135th
Rush EPA−0.14133rd
Explosive rate10.0%118th
Quality-drive rate30.0%138th
Points per quality drive4.163rd
Defense
EPA allowed+0.17119th
Success allowed50.4%134th
Pass EPA allowed+0.30130th
Rush EPA allowed+0.0892nd
Explosive allowed13.6%104th
Havoc rate8.9%73rd

Special teams, luck and schedule

through the latest board
rank of 138
Special teams & luck
Special teams EPA / game−3.2121st
Turnover margin−7129th · exp. −1.5
Field position margin+1.6 yd58th
Hidden points / game−8.3gave up
Luck, wins−0.01.0 earned
One-score record0–0
Rush rate over expected+8.9%11th
Overall
Rating, pts vs average−18.6133rd
Schedule played+5.226th
Schedule remaining−8.7119th
Full schedule−2.479th
Pregame expected wins0.6of 6

Ranking by week

ours vs the AP poll
151025Wk 0Wk 2Wk 4Wk 6
Ours 133rd · −18.6Week 6
Where they sit · offense vs defensepinch or ⌘/ctrl + scroll to zoom · drag to move · double-tap to reset
−0.200.00+0.20FBS averageStanfordHawai'iFlorida StateNew Mexico StateEastern MichiganSacramento StateNorth Dakota StateJacksonville StateVirginiaNC StateUSCSan José StateUNLVMemphisTCUNorth CarolinaUCFDelawareKennesaw StateBuffaloMinnesotaMissouriUtahRutgersMassachusettsWake ForestAkronGeorgia TechColoradoIllinoisUABFresno StatePurdueGeorgia StateOklahomaMichigan StateToledoMiamiKansasTexas A&MMissouri StateSouth AlabamaGeorgia SouthernSouth FloridaFlorida InternationalRiceUtah StateMiddle TennesseeArkansas StateVanderbiltTexas TechKansas StateVirginia TechMississippi StateUL MonroeLSUClemsonLouisiana TechMichiganWestern MichiganTroySam HoustonFloridaFlorida AtlanticColorado StateWyomingSouthern MissAir ForceTempleGeorgiaTennesseeApp StateCharlotteOregonBoise StateNavyUTSAPenn StateMarshallTexasTexas StateDukeTulaneTulsaOklahoma StateArkansasIowaNorthern IllinoisOld DominionIowa StateLouisianaBYUAuburnBaylorNorthwesternMarylandArizonaSan Diego StateNew MexicoCentral MichiganArizona StateNevadaWestern KentuckyCaliforniaUCLAKentuckyCincinnatiBoston CollegeArmySouth CarolinaKent StateOhio StateBall StateWest VirginiaCoastal CarolinaUConnBowling GreenAlabamaEast CarolinaHoustonOregon StateIndianaNorth TexasJames MadisonLibertyNebraskaOhioPittsburghMiami (OH)SyracuseWashingtonWashington StateNotre DameWisconsinOle MissLouisvilleSMUUTEPgood offense, good defense →Offense EPA/play →better defense →
UTEPoff −0.19 138thdef +0.17 allowed · 119th

Every FBS team, through the latest board. EPA is garbage-time filtered. Tap a logo for its numbers.

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.