Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Michigan

3–2 FBS · Big Ten · this season

Rating

+7.9

Rank

34

Résumé

53

Projected wins

6.7▼ 0.2 vs preseason

CFP odds

1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5Western MichiganWMUMICH −21.9MICH −27.5W 13–1270WMU · W

Sat, Sep 129/12OklahomaOUMICH +2.2MICH +6.5W 17–1061MICH · W

Sat, Sep 199/19UTEPUTEPMICH −37.1MICH −36.5W 52–1786UTEP · W

Sat, Sep 269/26IowaIOWAMICH −6.6MICH −4.5L 19–2057MICH · L

Sat, Oct 310/3at MinnesotaMINNMICH −9.1MICH −5.5L 14–2049MICH · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17Penn StatePSUMICH −7.8MICH −6.5MICH −6.5Pass

Sat, Oct 2410/24IndianaIUMICH +6.4MICH +6.0wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31at RutgersRUTGMICH −19.9—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7Michigan StateMSUMICH −13.6MICH −16.5wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at OregonOREMICH +6.2MICH +13.5wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21UCLAUCLAMICH +0.7—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at Ohio StateOSUMICH +19.8MICH +13.5wk 13

Model on MICH games: 3–2 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–2 · as the dog 3–0 · home 1–1, away 2–1 · avg gap to the market +3.0 · closer than the market 2 of 5

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.