Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Florida State

3–3 FBS · ACC · this season

Rating

+5.5

Rank

43

Résumé

73

Projected wins

6.1▲ 1.0 vs preseason

CFP odds

<1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Aug 298/29New Mexico StateNMSUFSU −26.7FSU −31.0W 34–1764NMSU · W

Mon, Sep 79/7SMUSMUFSU +2.3FSU +2.0L 24–2733SMU · W

Sat, Sep 199/19at AlabamaALAFSU +23.6FSU +19.0L 36–5038ALA · L

Sat, Sep 269/26Central ArkansasCentral ArkansasFSU −40.1FSU −46.0W 34–773

Sat, Oct 310/3VirginiaUVAFSU +2.4FSU +2.5W 38–782FSU · W

Fri, Oct 910/9at LouisvilleLOUFSU +3.3FSU +4.5L 20–4431FSU · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17at MiamiMIAFSU +21.1FSU +21.0MIA −21.0Pass

Sat, Oct 3110/31ClemsonCLEMFSU −6.9—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7at Boston CollegeBCFSU −10.9—wk 10

Fri, Nov 1311/13at PittsburghPITTFSU +4.2—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21NC StateNCSUFSU −7.4—wk 12

Fri, Nov 2711/27FloridaFLAFSU PK—wk 13

Model on FSU games: 3–2 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–1 · as the dog 2–1 · home 1–1, away 2–1 · avg gap to the market +2.2 · closer than the market 1 of 5

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.