Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Alabama

5–1 FBS · SEC · this season

Rating

+23.5

Rank

4

Résumé

1

Projected wins

9.9▲ 2.8 vs preseason

CFP odds

90%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5East CarolinaECUALA −21.8ALA −28.5W 48–1081ECU · L

Sat, Sep 129/12at KentuckyUKALA −20.3ALA −10.5W 45–1772UK · L

Sat, Sep 199/19Florida StateFSUALA −23.6ALA −19.0W 50–3663ALA · L

Sat, Sep 269/26South CarolinaSCALA −14.8ALA −12.0W 49–1872ALA · W

Sat, Oct 310/3at Mississippi StateMSSTALA −6.6ALA −6.0W 56–2379ALA · W

Sat, Oct 1010/10GeorgiaUGAALA +1.8ALA −1.5L 17–2037UGA · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17at TennesseeTENNALA −10.0ALA −8.5ALA −8.5Pass

Sat, Oct 2410/24Texas A&MTA&MALA −15.3ALA −2.5wk 8

Sat, Nov 711/7at LSULSUALA −4.5ALA +3.5wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at VanderbiltVANALA −19.4—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21ChattanoogaChattanoogaALA −63.0—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28AuburnAUBALA −16.9ALA −10.0wk 13

Model on ALA games: 3–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 2–1 · as the dog 1–2 · home 1–2, away 2–1 · avg gap to the market +5.0 · closer than the market 4 of 6

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.