Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Northwestern

4–1 FBS · Big Ten · this season

Rating

+9.9

Rank

26

Résumé

36

Projected wins

7.8▲ 3.3 vs preseason

CFP odds

1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5South Dakota StateSouth Dakota StateNU −27.3NU −14.0W 34–1869

Sat, Sep 199/19ColoradoCOLONU −6.4NU −3.5W 41–768COLO · L

Fri, Sep 259/25at IndianaIUNU +21.8NU +23.5L 23–2955NU · W

Fri, Oct 210/2Penn StatePSUNU +2.9NU +2.5W 34–1369PSU · L

Sat, Oct 1010/10Ball StateBALLNU −35.6NU −36.0W 45–1478BALL · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17at Michigan StateMSUNU −7.9NU −7.5NU −7.5Pass

Sat, Oct 2410/24RutgersRUTGNU −22.5—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31at OregonORENU +8.1—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7IowaIOWANU +2.3—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at Ohio StateOSUNU +21.7—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21at MinnesotaMINNNU −8.0—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28IllinoisILLNU −6.4NU +3.5wk 13

Model on NU games: 2–2 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–1 · as the dog 2–1 · home 0–0, away 2–2 · avg gap to the market +1.3 · closer than the market 1 of 4

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.