Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Fresno State

4–2 FBS · Pac-12 · this season

Rating

+3.1

Rank

57

Résumé

47

Projected wins

7.0▲ 1.3 vs preseason

CFP odds

1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Fri, Sep 49/4at USCUSCFRES +23.9FRES +22.5L 0–396USC · W

Sat, Sep 129/12Sacramento StateSACFRES −4.0FRES −18.5W 49–391SAC · L

Sat, Sep 199/19at San José StateSJSUFRES −7.4FRES −7.5W 26–1061SJSU · L

Sat, Sep 269/26RiceRICEFRES −19.9FRES −13.0W 38–2449FRES · W

Sat, Oct 310/3at Washington StateWSUFRES +0.5FRES +2.5W 26–667FRES · W

Sat, Oct 1010/10Boise StateBOISFRES +3.1FRES +6.0L 31–3850FRES · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17at San Diego StateSDSUFRES −6.2FRES −7.5SDSU +7.5Pass

Sat, Oct 3110/31Oregon StateORSTFRES +3.6—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7at Utah StateUSUFRES −8.0—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at Texas StateTXSTFRES +4.4—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21Colorado StateCSUFRES −17.0—wk 12

Model on FRES games: 3–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 2–0 · as the dog 1–3 · home 2–2, away 1–1 · avg gap to the market +5.6 · closer than the market 3 of 6

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.