Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Texas

4–1 FBS · SEC · this season

Rating

+17.6

Rank

9

Résumé

7

Projected wins

8.6▲ 1.1 vs preseason

CFP odds

68%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5Texas StateTXSTTEX −21.3TEX −30.5W 59–772TXST · L

Sat, Sep 129/12Ohio StateOSUTEX −0.8TEX −1.5W 24–2364OSU · W

Sat, Sep 199/19UTSAUTSATEX −30.5TEX −30.0W 30–662TEX · L

Sat, Sep 269/26at TennesseeTENNTEX −6.3TEX −5.5W 20–1751TEX · L

Sat, Oct 1010/10at OklahomaOUTEX −7.0TEX −8.0L 24–2755OU · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17FloridaFLATEX −9.9TEX −10.5FLA +10.5Pass

Sat, Oct 2410/24Ole MissMISSTEX −4.2TEX −8.5wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31Mississippi StateMSSTTEX −11.6—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7at MissouriMIZTEX +2.6—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at LSULSUTEX +0.9TEX −2.5wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21ArkansasARKTEX −22.0—wk 12

Fri, Nov 2711/27at Texas A&MTA&MTEX −5.4TEX −2.5wk 13

Model on TEX games: 2–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–2 · as the dog 2–1 · home 1–1, away 1–2 · avg gap to the market +2.2 · closer than the market 2 of 5

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.