Oct 13, 7:43 AM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Liberty

5–1 FBS · Conference USA · this season

Rating

+5.5

Rank

42

Résumé

40

Projected wins

10.1▲ 2.3 vs preseason

CFP odds

2%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5at James MadisonJMULIB +9.2LIB +6.5L 13–2049JMU · W

Sat, Sep 129/12Gardner-WebbGardner-WebbLIB −36.2LIB −28.5W 24–2364

Sat, Sep 199/19Ball StateBALLLIB −22.4LIB −14.5W 51–1572LIB · W

Thu, Sep 249/24at Coastal CarolinaCCULIB −4.1LIB +1.0W 34–1777LIB · W

Fri, Oct 210/2at DelawareDELLIB −4.4LIB −7.0W 30–1462DEL · L

Thu, Oct 810/8Sam HoustonSHSULIB −17.7LIB −13.5W 35–380LIB · W

Thu, Oct 2210/22at Kennesaw StateKENNLIB −15.6—wk 8

Sat, Oct 3110/31Florida InternationalFIULIB −14.1—wk 9

Sat, Nov 711/7at New Mexico StateNMSULIB −15.2—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14Middle TennesseeMTSULIB −23.0—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21Western KentuckyWKULIB −17.7—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at Missouri StateMOSTLIB −18.4—wk 13

Model on LIB games: 4–1 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 3–0 · as the dog 1–1 · home 3–1, away 1–0 · avg gap to the market +3.8 · closer than the market 3 of 5

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.